O’Reilly Wealth Advisors Announces 10/17/17 401(k) Workshop & White Paper

On October 17, 2017 O’Reilly Wealth Advisors is hosting a 401(k) workshop. At the workshop, results of a study of a large number of 401(k) plans in San Diego County, especially North County, will be presented. If you want your company’s 401(k) plan included – please contact us no later than September 1. Your plan’s presence in the study will be anonymous. No individual plans information will be revealed. If you want your plan studied – we call it a Fiduciary Risk Review – please let us know. Mark your calendars for now and more details will be coming, including how to...

What is the Greatest Opportunity to Improve 401k Plans Today?

What is the greatest opportunity to improve 401(k) plans today? We want as many employees as possible to get to higher account balances as soon as possible! Yep. It’s all about the money! Do you and your fellow employees deserve it? Absolutely you deserve it! A majority of participants allocate their money poorly resulting in less return each year versus what they could have had. That results in less compounding. Repeating that lower return year after year – with the all-important compounding effect – and participants are left with ⅓ to ½ of what they could have had! Ouch! Just a 1-3% less return each year on average is devastating to the final balance at retirement. So we need to improve the allocation of as many account owners as possible. How do we do that? Note, that by definition, 401(k) plan account owners have freedom to place or “allocate” their money in the plan options. Plans must offer “fund education” – but they are not required to offer “investment advice” – advice on how much to place in each fund for best results long term. What’s the solution? I’ll give you two: the band-aid (quick) enhancement and the permanent enhancement. Band-aid Enchancement: Hire a registered investment advisor become the ERISA Section 3(21) advisor to your current plan – who is licensed, willing and able to give investment advice. The investment advisor will help employees significantly improve the return versus employees left to their own devices. Most 401(k) plans have “shiny object funds” that at first glance sound good. An example is “Stable Value”. Stability sounds intriguing. What’s not to like? Well...

A Unique Way to Define Good Investing – Challenge the mainstream!

Over the years, the mainstream financial world has completely misinformed us and misguided us on what constitutes great investing. This is conventional thinking – there’s a far better way. They push the idea of active investing, the exciting idea of “placing bets” on when to buy what and when to sell it. The best way to invest is “own everything” as that way you own each big winner. Statistically proven market behaviors like small company stocks outperforming large company stocks can be employed by a slight over-weighting towards small company stocks. We call that “Evidence-Based Investing” since the strategy is backed by statistical proof or evidence. In the conventional view of investing pushed by the financial mainstream, it is expected that every year there will be capital losses. Enough “losers” are sold near the end of the year to offset capital gains with the goal of zero capital gains taxes. (Legally avoiding taxes is wonderful but not because your net gain each year is zero or less!) It has been common in my investment advisory practice to take on new clients with accumulated “capital loss carryover” from the past. In other words, their investing results have been so poor – that their gains have not overcame their losses. My clients have the opposite problem. After they have been on board for a few years – all their asset classes – their DFA funds – have increased in value. So when we re-balance their portfolio –  capital gains are generated with no capital losses available to offset them. That’s OK. In fact, that’s great! That should be your GOAL. If you’re paying capital gains taxes, it...

Baby Boomers in Business…Soon to Exit….

I recently attended a fantastic 2-day conference on wealth management put on by the Southern California Institute (www.scinstitute.org). Here are some statistics – and you’ll soon understand that this is a crisis: Baby Boomers own 63% of the businesses in USA.  80-90% of the wealth is in their business. 76% wish to transition from their businesses in the next 10 years. This represents 4.5 million businesses, and +$10 trillion in wealth. However, only 49% have a transition plan. Of all the businesses that are put on the market to sell, only 30% are sold. Of all the businesses – only 30% of family-owned businesses make it to the 2nd generation and only 12% survive to the 3rd generation. The bottom line is this – very few plan and therefore are at significant risk of accessing the wealth in their business after sacrificing untold hours running their businesses. That’s awful! How can business owners exit their business? There are 4 “inside” options and 3 “external” options. Inside: Intergenerational Transfer, Management Buyout, Sale to Existing Partners or Sale to Employees. External: Sale to 3rd party, Recapitalization, Orderly Liquidation We are ignoring taking the company public (IPO) since that represents such a tiny percentage of companies. We urge all Baby Boomer business owners to strongly consider professional help with transitioning their businesses. Keep in mind that excellence in “exit planning” is simply excellence in business planning. The owner is growing the company, increasing profits, making it easier to run  – so they benefit now but also so they have a much better chance of a good outcome in exiting the business. We have access to the best resources...

Prediction Season

Please see the PDF found here and also read the introduction and conclusion below. Click the back arrow to return after opening the PDF. Prediction Season – December 2016 Introduction: The close of each calendar year brings with it the holidays as well as a chance to look forward to the year ahead. In the coming weeks, investors are likely to be bombarded with predictions about what the future, and specifically the next year, may hold for their portfolios. These outlooks are typically accompanied by recommended investment strategies and actions that are aimed at trying to avoid the next crisis or missing out on the next “great” opportunity. When faced with recommendations of this sort, it would be wise to remember that investors are better served by sticking with a long-term plan rather than changing course in reaction to predictions and short-term calls. <see PDF for the full article> Click the back arrow to return after opening the PDF. Conclusion: As the end of the year approaches, it is natural to reflect on what has gone well this year and what one may want to improve upon next year. Within the context of an investment plan, it is important to remember that investors are likely better served by trusting the plan they have put in place and focusing on what they can control, such as diversifying broadly, minimizing taxes, and reducing costs and turnover. Those who make changes to a long-term investment strategy based on short-term noise and predictions may be disappointed by the outcome. In the end, the only certain prediction about markets is that the future will remain full...

Wow – New Market Highs & Unpeeling the 401k Onion

As of December 9, 2016, “the markets” have been doing quite well. Keep in mind there’s a million ways to define the market. Our definition of “the market” is performing even better than the average person’s definition. It appears the “premiums” we employ for our clients – small stocks beat large and value stocks beat growth stocks are in favor, so our clients are enjoying higher performance in their portfolios. Upward moving markets happen! It may seem like a surprise, but since we cannot predict market movements – it’s actually not a surprise. We have no idea where the market will go or when it will go there. A year from now, it could be higher, lower or the same. (Choose one and you have a 33% chance of being correct, just like the celebrated Wall Street Forecasting “Experts”!) Our human behavior and biases make it difficult for the average person to be a great investor. After a notable market movement (or non-movement) has happened, as time passes, we begin to think we saw it coming. It’s obviously not true, but our minds play tricks on us. Also when we are in the midst of a market situation – we suffer “recency bias” – meaning that we over-focus on the present without seeing the bigger picture. Right now a lot of people are piling onto the market when we are at record highs. That’s not a problem as long as your commitment is 5 years or longer. We can help you “keep your cool” and make more money than most, by staying invested and highly diversified. The media and...